Stop in for a cup of coffee

zkx14 said

+15 hereMon night. Which , the way its going, could be about as cold as we get this winter. Usually do a couple nights around zero. Could still happen through Feb...

Click to expand...

Just about 2* warmer predicted here for next week. I honestly don’t believe any of it at this point. The models are so fubar from the way the weather has been the last few weeks that I don’t believe they can predict much past the next 24 hrs with any certainty.

When models depend heavily on seasonal norms to predict variation from current conditions, and current conditions are well out of normal range, the predictions become increasingly inaccurate and unreliable.

Models are only as good as they are designed to be. GIGO.