What I’m saying is not the words your putting in my mouth but actual experience in what others say is going to happen doesn’t always happen or even remotely close to there slide ruler calculations.
Nothing more, nothing less.
Your specifics above on your question is not in question.
You can run the calculator and math up the flag pole all day and night long and ridicule all you want, but it may not happen. BTDT
Run the math on tire size due to pressure differences.
Then tell me the changes I’ll see in the 1/4.